Daily market news

forex Forex
16:00 - 11.05.2026
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GBP/USD Price Forecast: Buyers retain control above 200-day SMA

GBP/USD recovers some ground after opening the week with a bearish gap as geopolitical headlines surrounding the Middle East continue to stir volatility across financial markets.

commodities Commodities
13:00 - 11.05.2026
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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD hits lows near $4,650 as Fed easing hopes dim

Gold (XAU/USD) pulls back from last week’s high on Monday, reaching session lows a few dollars above the $4,650 level at the time of writing.

forex Forex
12:00 - 11.05.2026
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British Pound recovers further vs USD; GBP/USD holds near daily peak, above 1.3600

The GBP/USD pair fills a major part of its weekly bearish gap opening on Monday and is now looking to extend the momentum further beyond the 1.3600 mark.

forex Forex
11:00 - 11.05.2026
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USD/JPY Price Forecast: At make or a break near advancing trendline around 157.00

The USD/JPY pair trades 0.25% higher to near 157.00 during the European trading session on Monday. The pair trades firmly as the Japanese Yen (JPY) underperforms across the board amid growing concerns over Japan’s economic outlook due to higher oil prices.

commodities Commodities
10:00 - 11.05.2026
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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rises toward $81.00 despite cautious Fed's outlook

Silver price (XAG/USD) extends its winning streak for the fourth successive day, trading around $80.70 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Monday.

forex Forex
09:00 - 11.05.2026
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AUD/USD Price Forecast: Advancing 20-day EMA backs more upside towards 0.7300

The AUD/USD pair recovers a majority of its opening losses and is marginally down to near 0.7240 during the early European trading session on Monday.

indices Indices
08:00 - 11.05.2026
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WTI Price Forecast: Returns above 20-day EMA as Trump dismisses Iran’s response

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, is up 5.2% to near $96.60 in the Asian trade at the start of the week. The Oil price attracts significant bids as expectations that the United States (US) and Iran will reach a permanent ceasefire in the near term have faded.

forex Forex
07:00 - 11.05.2026
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EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Tests 50-day EMA barrier near 185.00

EUR/JPY extends its winning streak for the third successive day, trading around 184.80 during the Asian hours on Monday.

forex Forex
06:00 - 11.05.2026
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USD/CHF jumps to near 0.7785 as hopes of US-Iran truce in near term fades

The USD/CHF pair holds opening gains around 0.7785 during the Asian trading session on Monday.

04:00 - 11.05.2026
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WTI rises above $95.50 as Trump rejects Iran’s proposal

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price advances after registering nearly 3% losses in the previous trading day, hovering around $95.70 during the Asian hours on Monday.

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When is the US ISM Services PMI data for March and how could it affect EUR/USD?

US ISM Services PMI Preview

The United States (US) Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for March is scheduled to be published today at 14:00 GMT.

The ISM report is expected to show that the service sector activity expanded again, but at a moderate pace. The Services PMI is estimated to arrive at 55.0, lower than 56.1 in February. Investors will pay close attention to the Services PMI data as the related sector accounts for two-thirds of the US economy.

Apart from the Services PMI, investors will also focus on sub-components of data, such as Employment Index, New Orders Index, and Prices Paid.

Theoretically, weaker-than-projected US ISM Services PMI data boost dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations in the near term. However, upbeat figures would do the opposite.

How could US ISM Services PMI data affect EUR/USD?

EUR/USD trades 0.25% at around 1.1544 during the late European trading session on Monday. In the daily chart, price holds between a descending resistance trend line from 1.1666 and an ascending support line from 1.1408, keeping the near-term bias neutral with a slight downside tilt as the pair trades just below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 1.1566.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stays inside the 40.00-60.00 range, reflecting a contracting structure, which is typically followed by a volatility expansion.

Immediate resistance emerges at the 20-day EMA around 1.1566, with the descending trend line reinforcing a cap near 1.1600; a daily close above this zone would open the way toward the March 10 high at 1.1667. On the downside, initial support aligns with the rising trend line near 1.1500, and a break through this level would expose the price towards the March low at 1.1411.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Economic Indicator
ISM Services PMI

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), released on a monthly basis, is a leading indicator gauging business activity in the US services sector, which makes up most of the economy. The indicator is obtained from a survey of supply executives across the US based on information they have collected within their respective organizations. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month. A reading above 50 indicates that the services economy is generally expanding, a bullish sign for the US Dollar (USD). A reading below 50 signals that services sector activity is generally declining, which is seen as bearish for USD.

Read more.

Next release: Mon Apr 06, 2026 14:00

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: 55

Previous: 56.1

Source: Institute for Supply Management

Why it matters to traders?

The Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) reveals the current conditions in the US service sector, which has historically been a large GDP contributor. A print above 50 shows expansion in the service sector’s economic activity. Stronger-than-expected readings usually help the USD gather strength against its rivals. In addition to the headline PMI, the Employment Index and the Prices Paid Index numbers are also watched closely by investors as they provide useful insights regarding the state of the labour market and inflation.

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