Daily market news

22:00 - 08.05.2026
Author:

WTI declines as US-Iran deal hopes and Hormuz outlook weigh on oil

WTI, the US crude oil benchmark, falls some 2.49%, poised to end the week with losses of over 7.39%, amid growing speculation that the US and Iran will reach an agreement to end the conflict.

Forex
21:59 - 08.05.2026
Author:
Zain Vawda

Markets Weekly Outlook - Is the 'Risk-On' Rally sustainable with rates and energy elevated?

Equities surge despite high oil and rate expectations. This outlook covers US CPI, the Fed Chair transition from Powell to Warsh, DXY's bearish technical setup, and the sustainability of the "risk-on" rally amidst geopolitical tensions.

commodities Commodities
21:33 - 08.05.2026
Author:
Krzysztof Kamiński

Copper near record highs. Market fears supply constraints and bets on strong demand

Copper prices are approaching record highs as investors focus on long-term demand from artificial intelligence, power grids and clean energy, while supply risks grow due to sulfuric acid disruptions, weaker output in Chile and new strategic mining projects in Congo.

commodities Commodities
21:21 - 08.05.2026
Author:
Elior Manier

Are metals overdue for a rally? – Silver (XAG/USD) & Gold (XAU/USD) Outlook

XAU/USD, XAG/USD Outlook: Precious metals show signs of a bullish awakening as the traditional inverse relationship with crude oil begins to fade. With Copper breaking year-to-date highs and Gold printing a massive weekly hammer candle, the "war-driven" bear trend appears to be exhausting. Explore our intraday technical analysis of XAU/USD and XAG/USD to identify key breakout levels.

forex Forex
20:00 - 08.05.2026
Author:

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Spot tests lower Bollinger band as bearish momentum builds

USD/CHF trades on the back foot on Friday and is set for a second straight weekly decline amid broad-based weakness in the US Dollar (USD). At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 0.7773, hovering near two-month lows.

indices Indices
18:25 - 08.05.2026
Author:
Elior Manier

Tech continues to pull Stock Markets higher, S&P 500 at 7,400 – Dow Jones, Nasdaq and S&P 500 Intraday Levels

S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels: Tech stocks propel the Nasdaq and S&P 500 to new heights as investors ignore geopolitical noise in favor of AI-driven growth. Despite diverging labor data and weak consumer sentiment, the bull run remains relentless. Explore critical technical levels for the major US indexes.

forex Forex
18:00 - 08.05.2026
Author:

USD/CAD climbs after Canada jobs data surprises to the downside.

USD/CAD edges higher on Friday as softer-than-expected Canadian employment data weighs on the Canadian Dollar (CAD), even as the US Dollar (USD) remains on the back foot following mixed US labor market data and hopes for a US-Iran deal to end the war.

forex Forex
17:00 - 08.05.2026
Author:

GBP/USD advances as US Dollar slips despite strong NFP, resilient Pound

GBP/USD advances around 1.3630 on Friday at the time of writing, up 0.54% on the day, benefiting from broad US Dollar weakness following the release of the US employment report.

commodities Commodities
16:11 - 08.05.2026
Author:
Elior Manier

Mixed feelings after the April Non-Farm Payrolls beat and Consumer Sentiment miss – Market Check

Global Markets update: US equities remain stoic following retaliatory strikes on Iranian energy hubs and a solid NFP beat of 115K. Despite a miss in consumer sentiment and higher inflation expectations, the cold-truce narrative persists. Explore our intraday market outlook and technical levels for the weekend

forex Forex
16:00 - 08.05.2026
Author:

EUR/USD: Recovery eyes full retracement – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report the Euro (EUR) is modestly higher versus the Dollar, supported by risk sentiment around the US/Iran conflict despite softer German trade data and slightly reduced ECB tightening expectations.

OANDA's pick for the day

22:39 - 07.05.2026
Is the party over already? – North American Session Market Wrap for May 7
22:29 - 06.05.2026
The Peace rally can't be stopped – North American Session Market Wrap for May 6
22:11 - 04.05.2026
Sentiment waves are on a shore-break – North American Session Market Wrap for May 4
22:03 - 30.04.2026
It's an all-out rally after the Central Bank holds – North American Session Market Wrap for April 30
04:00 - 08.05.2026
04:00 - 08.05.2026

US Trade Court rules Trump’s 10% global tariff is illegal — Reuters

A US trade court ruled against US President Donald Trump's latest 10% global tariffs, finding they were not justified under a 1970s trade law, however the court only blocked the levy on two small businesses and the state of Washington, Reuters reported on Thursday.

The court ruled that Trump's imposition of ‌the tariffs under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 was misguided. One of the judges said it was premature to grant victory to the plaintiffs.

Market reaction

At the time of writing, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is down 0.03% on the day at 98.25.

US Dollar FAQs

What is the US Dollar?

The US Dollar (USD) is the official currency of the United States of America, and the ‘de facto’ currency of a significant number of other countries where it is found in circulation alongside local notes. It is the most heavily traded currency in the world, accounting for over 88% of all global foreign exchange turnover, or an average of $6.6 trillion in transactions per day, according to data from 2022. Following the second world war, the USD took over from the British Pound as the world’s reserve currency. For most of its history, the US Dollar was backed by Gold, until the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971 when the Gold Standard went away.

How do the decisions of the Federal Reserve impact the US Dollar?

The most important single factor impacting on the value of the US Dollar is monetary policy, which is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability (control inflation) and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these two goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, the Fed will raise rates, which helps the USD value. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates, which weighs on the Greenback.

What is Quantitative Easing and how does it influence the US Dollar?

In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve can also print more Dollars and enact quantitative easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used when credit has dried up because banks will not lend to each other (out of the fear of counterparty default). It is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the necessary result. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice to combat the credit crunch that occurred during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy US government bonds predominantly from financial institutions. QE usually leads to a weaker US Dollar.

What is Quantitative Tightening and how does it influence the US Dollar?

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing in new purchases. It is usually positive for the US Dollar.

This publication has been prepared by OANDA TMS Brokers S.A. with its registered office in Warsaw, Warsaw UNIT, Daszyńskiego 1, 00-843 Warsaw, registered by the District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw in Warsaw, XIII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000204776, NIP number 5262759131, with a share capital amounting to PLN 3,537.560, fully paid up, operating in accordance with the Act on Trading in Financial Instruments dated July 29th 2005, exclusively for the needs of OANDA TMS Brokers' clients. OANDA TMS Brokers is subject to the supervision of the Polish Financial Supervision Authority on the basis of an authorization of April 26th 2004 (KPWiG-4021-54-1/2004)

This publication is a commercial publication within the meaning of art. 36 par. 2 of Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2017/565 of 25 April 2016 supplementing Directive 2014/65 / EU of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to the organizational requirements and operating conditions of investment firms and the concepts defined for the purposes of this directive.

Recipients of this publication should consult the financial adviser before taking any investment decision on the basis of this publication.

In the preparation of this document OANDA TMS Brokers not take into account the individual needs and situation of the investor. Investments and services presented or included in this document may not be suitable for a specific investor, therefore, in case of doubts concerning such investments or investment services, it is recommended to consult an independent investment advisor.

Recipients of this report must make their own determination of the appropriateness of an investment in any financial instruments referred to herein based on the merits and risks involved, their own investment strategy and their legal and financial position.

None of the information presented in this publication constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice or a statement that any investment strategy is adequate or appropriate due to individual circumstances related to the recipient, as well as does not constitute any other personal recommendation. OANDA TMS Brokers does not provide tax advisory services related to investing in financial instruments and recommends to contact an independent tax advisor.

OANDA TMS Brokers informs that in the case of a general recommendation service, there is a conflict of interest consisting in the issuance by OANDA TMS Brokers recommendation of a general nature, while OANDA TMS Brokers concluded transactions on the trading portfolio.

This publication is only informative and:

(i) does not constitute or form part of a sale, subscription or invitation to subscribe for any financial instruments,

(ii) it is not intended to offer or purchase or subscribe to or acquire any financial instruments

(iii) does not constitute advertising of any financial instruments

This publication has been prepared with due diligence, reliability and principles of objectivity based on generally available information. The information and opinions contained in this document have been collected or developed by OANDA TMS Brokers based on sources considered reliable, however OANDA TMS Brokers and related entities are not responsible for any inaccuracies or omissions. This document expresses the knowledge and views of its authors, as at the date of preparation.

The results achieved in the past should not be treated as an indication of whether the guarantee of future results. OANDA TMS Brokers is not responsible for investment decisions taken on the basis of this publication or for damages incurred as a result of investment decisions based on this publication.

The date on the first page of this publication is the date of its preparation and publication.

The Stocks service variant is offered in cross-selling together with the CFDs service variant. Detailed information on the risks arising from the various services being part of the cross-selling, as well as information on the costs and fees associated with these services, is available at OANDA TMS Brokers website in the Documents section.

CFDs are complex instruments and involve a high risk of a quick loss of cash due to leverage. 76% of retail investors' accounts record losses as a result of trading CFDs at this supplier. Consider if you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford a high risk of losing money.

Detailed information about OANDA TMS Brokers, principles of preparing and disseminating recommendations, sources of information, determining recipients of recommendations, professional terminology, conflicts of interest, as well as frequency of issuing and validity of recommendations, are available at www.tmsbrokers.com in the section https://www.tmsbrokers.com/disclaimer

Scroll to top