Daily market news

forex Forex
07:00 - 05.06.2026
Author:

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Remains close to 186.00 near descending channel top

EUR/JPY moves little after posting modest gains in the previous day, trading around 185.80 during the Asian hours on Friday. The EUR/JPY cross is holding a constructive bullish bias as it remains above both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).

commodities Commodities
06:33 - 05.06.2026
Author:
kelvin_wong
Kelvin Wong

Asia open: AI Rally stalls on Broadcom miss, while ‘Sell Indonesia’ sweeps markets

Global markets turned mixed as the AI rally stumbled following Broadcom’s weaker-than-expected outlook, triggering a sharp selloff in technology shares. While the Nasdaq and the semiconductor sector came under pressure, the Dow Jones surged to a record high as falling oil prices eased inflation concerns. Meanwhile, Indonesia’s financial markets extended their sharp decline amid growing investor concerns over policy intervention, highlighting broader risks facing emerging markets across Asia.

06:00 - 05.06.2026
Author:

Oman’s Mina al Fahal terminal halts Oil loading after alleged drone attack – Reuters

Citing two people familiar with the matter, Reuters reported on Friday that Oman’s Mina al Fahal terminal has halted crude oil loading, following an explosion near its single-buoy mooring (SBM) berths.

commodities Commodities
16:00 - 04.06.2026
Author:

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD recovery stalls below the 50-day SMA

Silver (XAG/USD) climbs more than 2% on Thursday as a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon weighs on the US Dollar (USD). At the time of writing, XAG/USD is trading around $74.80, but remains stuck within a familiar range between $72-$78 that has held since mid-May.

14:00 - 04.06.2026
Author:

WTI Price Forecast: Trades flat slightly above $93.00 amid US-Iran deadlock

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, trades in a tight range around $93.20 during the European trading session on Thursday. The oil price consolidates as negotiations between the United States (US) and Iran towards a permanent peace deal are going nowhere.

forex Forex
13:00 - 04.06.2026
Author:

Eurozone Retail Sales contract more-than-expected: What weak Retail Sales mean for EUR/USD

The Eurozone Retail Sales data for April declines at a faster pace of 0.4% in April, compared to the 0.3% contraction expected. In March, the Retail Sales data, a key measure of consumer spending, rose by 0.8%, revised sharply higher from 0.1% decline.

indices Indices
12:07 - 04.06.2026
Author:
kelvin_wong
Kelvin Wong

Chart alert: Dow Jones (DJIA) under pressure, medium-term uptrend at risk

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is showing signs of technical deterioration after underperforming other major US equity indices throughout the current bull cycle. Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, higher Treasury yields, and a bear-flattening yield curve are tightening financial conditions and weighing on cyclical sectors. Technical indicators, including a breakdown below ascending channel support and bearish RSI divergence, suggest near-term downside risks remain elevated.

forex Forex
11:00 - 04.06.2026
Author:

NZD/USD Price Forecast: Falls to near 0.5850 after slipping below moving averages

NZD/USD extends its losses for the fourth successive day, trading around 0.5860 during the European hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows the spot price moving sideways within a rectangle pattern, indicating a period of market consolidation and indecision.

forex Forex
10:00 - 04.06.2026
Author:

BoJ to raise interest rates at June meeting – Reuters

According to sources, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates in the June policy meeting, Reuters reports. The report also states that the central bank is leaning towards pausing or slowing the pace of its bond-buying taper from Fiscal 2027.

09:00 - 04.06.2026
Author:

WTI slumps to near $93.00 as Israel, Lebanon agree to renew ceasefire

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $93.10 during the early European trading hours on Thursday. The WTI price falls as a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon renewed hopes for diplomatic progress. 

OANDA's pick for the day

22:04 - 27.05.2026
Traders are desperate for more news, but the status quo is positive
22:16 - 25.05.2026
The Memorial Day session brought with it some great news
22:39 - 07.05.2026
Is the party over already? – North American Session Market Wrap for May 7
22:29 - 06.05.2026
The Peace rally can't be stopped – North American Session Market Wrap for May 6
forex Forex
08:00 - 04.06.2026
Forex
08:00 - 04.06.2026

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Sees fresh leg of downfall below 1.1570

  • EUR/USD edges up to near 1.1600 while its outlook remains uncertain.
  • The ECB is expected to talk a lot about raising interest rates in the policy meeting next week.
  • Investors await the US NFP data for May.

The EUR/USD pair trades marginally higher to near 1.1600 during the early European trading session on Thursday. The major currency pair edges up, but is close to its Wednesday’s low, suggesting that the outlook is still uncertain.

The Euro is broadly under pressure as higher energy prices due to the Middle East crisis have diminished the appeal of currencies from economies that rely heavily on oil imports to meet its energy needs.

On the monetary policy, investors are mixed regarding whether the European Central Bank (ECB) will raise interest rates in the policy meeting; however, they are very likely to discuss heavily on tightening monetary conditions due to higher inflationary pressures.

In May, the headline and the core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) arrived higher at 3.2% and 2.5% Year-on-Year (YoY), respectively.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) ticks down to near 99.45, but is still close to its over eight-week high of 99.55. The DXY is broadly firm amid the United States (US) and Iran are struggling to reach a deal. Going forward, investors will focus on the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for May, which will be released on Friday.

EUR/USD technical analysis

EUR/USD ticks higher at around 1.1600 at press time. However, the near-term tone of the pair remains bearish as it holds below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 1.1646.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 43 leans to the downside, suggesting sellers retain control despite the recent stabilization in price.

On the topside, initial resistance sits at the 20-day EMA near 1.1646, and a daily close above this barrier would be needed to ease the immediate downward pressure. Looking down, the pair could slide to 1.1500 if it drops below the May 21 low at 1.1576.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Economic Indicator

Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)

The Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) measures changes in the prices of a representative basket of goods and services in the European Monetary Union. The HICP, – released by Eurostat on a monthly basis, is harmonized because the same methodology is used across all member states and their contribution is weighted. The YoY reading compares prices in the reference month to a year earlier. Core HICP excludes volatile components like food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco. The Core HICP is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Euro (EUR), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Tue Jun 02, 2026 09:00 (Prel)

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 2.5%

Consensus: 2.4%

Previous: 2.2%

Source: Eurostat

This publication has been prepared by OANDA TMS Brokers S.A. with its registered office in Warsaw, Warsaw UNIT, Daszyńskiego 1, 00-843 Warsaw, registered by the District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw in Warsaw, XIII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000204776, NIP number 5262759131, with a share capital amounting to PLN 3,537.560, fully paid up, operating in accordance with the Act on Trading in Financial Instruments dated July 29th 2005, exclusively for the needs of OANDA TMS Brokers' clients. OANDA TMS Brokers is subject to the supervision of the Polish Financial Supervision Authority on the basis of an authorization of April 26th 2004 (KPWiG-4021-54-1/2004)

This publication is a commercial publication within the meaning of art. 36 par. 2 of Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2017/565 of 25 April 2016 supplementing Directive 2014/65 / EU of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to the organizational requirements and operating conditions of investment firms and the concepts defined for the purposes of this directive.

Recipients of this publication should consult the financial adviser before taking any investment decision on the basis of this publication.

In the preparation of this document OANDA TMS Brokers not take into account the individual needs and situation of the investor. Investments and services presented or included in this document may not be suitable for a specific investor, therefore, in case of doubts concerning such investments or investment services, it is recommended to consult an independent investment advisor.

Recipients of this report must make their own determination of the appropriateness of an investment in any financial instruments referred to herein based on the merits and risks involved, their own investment strategy and their legal and financial position.

None of the information presented in this publication constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice or a statement that any investment strategy is adequate or appropriate due to individual circumstances related to the recipient, as well as does not constitute any other personal recommendation. OANDA TMS Brokers does not provide tax advisory services related to investing in financial instruments and recommends to contact an independent tax advisor.

OANDA TMS Brokers informs that in the case of a general recommendation service, there is a conflict of interest consisting in the issuance by OANDA TMS Brokers recommendation of a general nature, while OANDA TMS Brokers concluded transactions on the trading portfolio.

This publication is only informative and:

(i) does not constitute or form part of a sale, subscription or invitation to subscribe for any financial instruments,

(ii) it is not intended to offer or purchase or subscribe to or acquire any financial instruments

(iii) does not constitute advertising of any financial instruments

This publication has been prepared with due diligence, reliability and principles of objectivity based on generally available information. The information and opinions contained in this document have been collected or developed by OANDA TMS Brokers based on sources considered reliable, however OANDA TMS Brokers and related entities are not responsible for any inaccuracies or omissions. This document expresses the knowledge and views of its authors, as at the date of preparation.

The results achieved in the past should not be treated as an indication of whether the guarantee of future results. OANDA TMS Brokers is not responsible for investment decisions taken on the basis of this publication or for damages incurred as a result of investment decisions based on this publication.

The date on the first page of this publication is the date of its preparation and publication.

The Stocks service variant is offered in cross-selling together with the CFDs service variant. Detailed information on the risks arising from the various services being part of the cross-selling, as well as information on the costs and fees associated with these services, is available at OANDA TMS Brokers website in the Documents section.

CFDs are complex instruments and involve a high risk of a quick loss of cash due to leverage. 76% of retail investors' accounts record losses as a result of trading CFDs at this supplier. Consider if you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford a high risk of losing money.

Detailed information about OANDA TMS Brokers, principles of preparing and disseminating recommendations, sources of information, determining recipients of recommendations, professional terminology, conflicts of interest, as well as frequency of issuing and validity of recommendations, are available at www.tmsbrokers.com in the section https://www.tmsbrokers.com/disclaimer

Scroll to top