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kelvin_wong

Kelvin Wong

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commodities Commodities
09:38 - 20.08.2026
Author:
kelvin_wong
Kelvin Wong

Chart alert: Gold major bullish breakout as USD debasement narrative takes hold

Gold (XAU/USD) has staged a major bullish breakout, surging 4.35% on 19 August for its largest one-day gain since February 2026. The rally reflects growing US dollar debasement and fiscal-dominance concerns following larger US Treasury bond buybacks. Technical momentum remains bullish above the $4,434/$4,405 pivotal support, while a sustained break above $4,504 could reinforce the advance towards $4,580 and $4,640.

forex Forex
13:09 - 12.08.2026
Author:
kelvin_wong
Kelvin Wong

Chart alert: GBP/USD remains firm above 1.3479 ahead of US CPI

GBP/USD remains firm ahead of the US CPI release after breaking above a key medium-term descending trendline following last Friday’s US NFP. Sterling’s near-term bullish momentum remains intact above the 1.3479 pivotal support, with upside targets at 1.3547, 1.3580 and 1.3643. A hotter-than-expected US core CPI could revive Fed rate-hike expectations and US dollar strength, while softer inflation may reinforce GBP/USD’s bullish breakout.

forex Forex
11:18 - 07.08.2026
Author:
kelvin_wong
Kelvin Wong

Chart alert: Yen’s 3-day weakness pauses at key 158.55/USD inflexion level ahead of NFP

USD/JPY’s three-day rebound is showing signs of exhaustion near the key 158.55 inflexion level ahead of the US non-farm payrolls release. The narrowing 2-year UST-JGB yield spread, a potential bearish flag and weakening hourly RSI momentum suggest renewed downside risks for USD/JPY. A break below the 157.95 downside trigger could expose 157.30 and 156.32, while a move above 158.55 may extend the rebound towards 159.45.

equities Equities
08:59 - 29.07.2026
Author:
kelvin_wong
Kelvin Wong

Chart alert: Microsoft (MSFT) bearish Head & Shoulders pattern emerges ahead of earnings

Microsoft's fiscal Q4 2026 earnings will be closely watched as investors assess whether the software giant can convert record AI infrastructure spending into stronger Azure growth, Copilot monetisation, and free cash flow. With Microsoft's Capex-to-Revenue ratio reaching a record high among the Magnificent 7 and technical indicators turning increasingly bearish, traders will focus on whether management's guidance can justify its elevated AI investment strategy.

equities Equities
11:11 - 23.07.2026
Author:
kelvin_wong
Kelvin Wong

Chart alert: Intel (INTC) bearish momentum intact below 120.35 as earnings loom

Intel reports its Q2 2026 earnings with investors closely watching whether its AI-driven turnaround can justify its 172% year-to-date rally. Beyond headline EPS and revenue, traders will focus on Data Centre and AI growth, capital expenditure, free cash flow, and management guidance. With technical indicators weakening and AI spending coming under greater scrutiny following Alphabet's earnings, Intel faces a critical test of both fundamentals and market sentiment.

indices Indices
12:24 - 17.07.2026
Author:
kelvin_wong
Kelvin Wong

Chart alert: Nasdaq 100 at risk of triggering a multi-week corrective decline leg

The Nasdaq 100 is showing signs of increasing technical and fundamental weakness as AI infrastructure stocks lose momentum and semiconductor volatility accelerates. Leveraged unwinding in memory-chip leaders, concerns over rising capital expenditure, and delayed AI monetisation are weighing on valuations. Discover why the 28,200 support level is a critical technical trigger and how semiconductor weakness could drive a broader multi-week correction in US technology stocks.

equities Equities
10:43 - 14.07.2026
Author:
kelvin_wong
Kelvin Wong

Chart alert: Bullish exhaustion signals sighted in Goldman Sachs (GS) ahead of earnings

Goldman Sachs heads into its Q2 2026 earnings after outperforming the S&P 500 and financial sector by a wide margin, raising the bar for another positive surprise. Investors will focus on investment banking fees, trading revenue, and management's outlook for capital markets activity. With US CPI, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's testimony, and renewed Middle East tensions also driving sentiment, bearish technical signals suggest the stock may be approaching a mean-reversion phase.

equities Equities
10:58 - 07.07.2026
Author:
kelvin_wong
Kelvin Wong

Chart alert: SpaceX (SPCX) Nasdaq-100 inclusion flashes a historical “sell-the-news” warning

SpaceX's fast-tracked inclusion into the Nasdaq-100 is expected to unleash around US$4.3 billion of passive buying from index-tracking funds, but history suggests investors should be wary of a potential "sell-the-news" reversal. Explore why previous Nasdaq-100 additions such as Palantir and Strategy experienced sharp post-inclusion corrections, how SpaceX's elevated AI-driven valuation increases downside risks, and the key technical levels traders should monitor.

Forex
10:26 - 02.07.2026
Author:
kelvin_wong
Kelvin Wong

Chart alert: USD/JPY plummeted 0.5% on suspected deliberate intervention, key levels to watch ahead of NFP

USD/JPY tumbled sharply after a sudden bout of yen strength raised suspicions of stealth intervention by Japanese authorities ahead of the closely watched US non-farm payrolls report. While widening US-Japan yield spreads continue to favour a stronger dollar, record speculative short positions in the yen increase the risk of further intervention-driven volatility. Traders are now watching the critical 160.90 support level and the US jobs report for the next major directional catalyst.

Forex
11:35 - 01.07.2026
Author:
kelvin_wong
Kelvin Wong

Chart alert: S&P 500 risks bull trap as stronger US dollar threatens Q2 rally

The S&P 500 finished Q2 2026 with its strongest quarterly performance since 2020 after a late surge driven by institutional window dressing and easing US-Iran tensions. However, the rally now faces a critical test as the US Dollar Index breaks to a 13-month high following the June FOMC meeting. Investors are closely watching Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech and this week's US jobs report, with further dollar strength potentially triggering a short-term bearish reversal in US equities.

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