Daily market news

forex Forex
07:00 - 12.05.2026
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EUR/USD Price Forecast: Falls toward 1.1750 near nine-day EMA

EUR/USD extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The daily chart technical analysis indicates an ongoing bullish bias as the pair is remaining within the ascending channel pattern.

commodities Commodities
06:00 - 12.05.2026
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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD trades firmly near two-month high of $86.50 ahead of US CPI

Silver price (XAG/USD) holds onto its almost week-long rally to near $86.50 during the Asian trading session on Tuesday. The white metal trades firmly even as oil prices are broadly stable amid fears that military actions between the United States (US) and Iran could resume.

forex Forex
04:00 - 12.05.2026
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AUD/USD Price Forecast: Eyes nine-day EMA support near 0.7200

AUD/USD loses ground after two days of gains, trading around 0.7240 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair is moving upwards within the ascending channel, suggesting an ongoing bullish bias.

commodities Commodities
03:00 - 12.05.2026
Author:
kelvin_wong
Kelvin Wong

Asia open: Stocks hit new highs on AI optimism as US-Iran ceasefire hangs by a thread

Global stocks surged to new record highs as AI optimism continued to dominate market sentiment despite escalating concerns over the fragile US-Iran ceasefire. The Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, Nikkei 225, and KOSPI extended gains while semiconductor shares and AI infrastructure themes remained key drivers. Meanwhile, rising oil prices and stronger inflation expectations lifted Treasury yields and reinforced a hawkish Federal Reserve outlook ahead of the crucial US CPI report.

commodities Commodities
21:46 - 11.05.2026
Author:
Elior Manier

Silver (XAG/USD) is in breakout mode, pushing above $85 – In-depth Silver technical analysis

Silver (XAG/USD) update: The Grey metal officially enters a major breakout phase, surging 7% to clear the $85 handle. Decoupling from Gold's typical lead and fueled by signs of an industrial recovery in China, Silver is reclaiming its role as a high-demand industrial asset. Explore our in-depth technical analysis for XAG/USD.

indices Indices
18:31 - 11.05.2026
Author:
Elior Manier

Tech does not wait on CPI and Geopolitics – Dow Jones, Nasdaq and S&P 500 CPI Levels

S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Analysis and Trading Levels: US stock benchmarks settle into a cautious range as markets brace for tomorrow's high-stakes CPI report. Despite a weekend diplomatic stalemate between the US and Iran and steadily rising oil prices, the "China Summit" optimism continues to bolster the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Explore our pre-CPI technical analysis of the major indexes.

18:00 - 11.05.2026
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WTI Oil climbs on Trump rejection of Iran peace plan, Hormuz closure fears

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil posts strong gains on Monday, with the US benchmark trading around $94.70 at the time of writing, up 3.18% on the day after opening the week with a significant bullish gap.

forex Forex
16:00 - 11.05.2026
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GBP/USD Price Forecast: Buyers retain control above 200-day SMA

GBP/USD recovers some ground after opening the week with a bearish gap as geopolitical headlines surrounding the Middle East continue to stir volatility across financial markets.

commodities Commodities
13:00 - 11.05.2026
Author:

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD hits lows near $4,650 as Fed easing hopes dim

Gold (XAU/USD) pulls back from last week’s high on Monday, reaching session lows a few dollars above the $4,650 level at the time of writing.

forex Forex
12:00 - 11.05.2026
Author:

British Pound recovers further vs USD; GBP/USD holds near daily peak, above 1.3600

The GBP/USD pair fills a major part of its weekly bearish gap opening on Monday and is now looking to extend the momentum further beyond the 1.3600 mark.

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EUR/USD Price Forecast: Bears retain control below 1.1780-1.1770 confluence breakpoint

EUR/USD sticks to its bearish bias on Friday amid a broadly firmer US Dollar.Traders eye flash PMIs for some impetus ahead of the US GDP and PCE data.The technical setup favors bears and backs the case for further depreciation.

The EUR/USD pair remains on the back foot through the Asian session on Friday and currently trades just above mid-1.1700s, well within striking distance of a nearly one-month low set the previous day.

The incoming US macro data pointed to a remarkably resilient labor market. Adding to this, the January FOMC meeting Minutes and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials forced investors to pare their bets for more aggressive policy easing. This, along with rising geopolitical tensions, assists the safe-haven US Dollar (USD) in preserving its recent strong gains to the highest level since January 23, which, in turn, continues to weigh on the EUR/USD pair.

Furthermore, reviving bets for an interest rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB) undermines the shared currency and seems to exert additional pressure on the EUR/USD pair. Traders now look forward to the release of the flash PMIs from the Eurozone and the US for short-term opportunities. The focus, however, will remain glued to the Advance US Q4 GDP report and the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index for a fresh directional impetus.

From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair now seems to have found acceptance below the 1.1780-1.1770 confluence and seems vulnerable to slide further. The said area comprises the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of a strong move up from the January swing low. This should act as a key pivotal point and keep a lid on any attempted recovery amid the underlying USD bullish tone.

Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line stays below the Signal line and under the zero mark, with a narrowing negative histogram that suggests easing downside momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 29 (oversold). The short-term bias remains fragile, though an oversold RSI and stabilizing MACD would favor a corrective bounce if momentum improves. A recovery could target the 50% retracement at 1.1828.

Furthermore, acceptance above the latter would brighten the tone, while failure to reclaim it would leave sellers in control of the pullback.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

EUR/USD 4-hour chartChart Analysis EUR/USD
Economic Indicator
HCOB Composite PMI

The Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), released on a monthly basis by S&P Global and Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB), is a leading indicator gauging private-business activity in the Eurozone for both the manufacturing and services sectors. The data is derived from surveys to senior executives. Each response is weighted according to the size of the company and its contribution to total manufacturing or services output accounted for by the sub-sector to which that company belongs. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month and can anticipate changing trends in official data series such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), industrial production, employment and inflation. The index varies between 0 and 100, with levels of 50.0 signaling no change over the previous month. A reading above 50 indicates that the private economy is generally expanding, a bullish sign for the Euro (EUR). Meanwhile, a reading below 50 signals that activity is generally declining, which is seen as bearish for EUR.

Read more.

Next release: Fri Feb 20, 2026 09:00 (Prel)

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: 51.5

Previous: 51.3

Source: S&P Global

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